Although the photovoltaic industry is still in a difficult situation, the prospects are still bright.

The analysis believes that emerging energy has become a global energy development trend, coupled with the country's strong support for the photovoltaic industry and the self-help of photovoltaic enterprises, China's photovoltaic industry is still bright after suffering from the "pain" caused by excessive expansion of the industry. China's photovoltaic industry faces two major difficulties . In early November, the US International Trade Commission made a final ruling. It was determined that crystalline silicon photovoltaic cells and components imported from China have substantially damaged the relevant industries in the United States. The United States will impose anti-dumping and countervailing duties on such products. . Subsequently, following the anti-dumping investigation, the EU initiated a countervailing investigation on photovoltaic cell products imported from China. Affected by the "double-reverse" attacks in Europe and the United States and the sluggish international economic situation, China's photovoltaic industry is facing the predicament of overcapacity and heavy dependence on external demand. In the eyes of most market investors, the photovoltaic industry has become a negative example of current overcapacity. In recent years, in view of vigorously developing strategic emerging industries and the broad development prospects of the photovoltaic industry, all provinces and cities in the country have listed the photovoltaic industry as a priority for supporting the development of emerging industries, more than 300 cities are committed to the development of photovoltaic industry, more than 100 The city has built a photovoltaic industry base. Since 2007, China's PV module production has leapt to the top in the world. Due to the decline in the export volume of photovoltaic products in China, PV companies with overcapacity are in deep trouble. Under the low-cost dumping of polysilicon in the EU, the United States and South Korea, according to the statistics of the Silicon Industry Branch of the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association, three of the seven polysilicon companies listed on the A-share market have stopped production. From a national perspective, at present, among the 43 polysilicon enterprises that have been put into production, only 7-8 companies are still in production, and the rest have closed production lines, and the yield is over 80%. At the beginning of 2012, as an applicant, four companies that required a “double-reverse” investigation of polysilicon produced in the EU could still start construction. By the second quarter of 2012, two of the four applicants, Luoyang Zhongsi and LDK, were nearly completely out of production. In addition, the sluggish export of China's photovoltaic industry also exposed the industry's dilemma of relying heavily on external demand. At present, more than 90% of domestic PV companies are sold abroad, and each year they sell to the US about 10% of total exports. According to data released by the US Department of Commerce, the value of crystalline silicon photovoltaic cells and components imported from China in 2011 was as high as about $3.1 billion. In addition, EU sales account for 70% of all production in China. Due to heavy reliance on external demand, China's PV industry faces huge exchange rate risk and foreign trade policy risks. On the 29th, Wendong Zheng, secretary of the Party Committee of Hainan Yingli New Energy Co., Ltd., pointed out in an interview that the development of solar energy and other emerging industries must focus on the international market and develop the domestic market, and should be as diversified as possible in the market, relying heavily on a single market. When the demand situation in foreign markets changes unfavorably, enterprises may be hit hard. Domestic enterprises should accelerate industrial upgrading At present, China's photovoltaic industry is deeply mired in overcapacity and heavily dependent on external demand, and lack of core technology has led to the loss of pricing power and voice of China's photovoltaic industry. In this regard, China's photovoltaic enterprises should expand the domestic market and strengthen scientific and technological innovation, the government should strengthen overall planning and policy guidance. On the 28th, Mr. Xiao, deputy manager of the project department of Hanergy Hainan Branch, said in an interview that the installed capacity of China's photovoltaic “12th Five-Year Plan” is 21GW, and the national installed capacity as of 2011 is 3.6GW. It is foreseeable that the domestic market potential will not be underestimated in the next 4-5 years. The group also wants to open up the domestic market through the performance advantages of the Group's thin-film components and the establishment of large-scale power plants. Second, we must increase the technological innovation of the photovoltaic industry, improve the core technology research and development capabilities, and strive for the right to speak and pricing in the international market. At present, China's photovoltaic enterprises are faced with a low level of technology, insufficient innovation capability, and core technology is also subject to human predicament. To increase the technological innovation of the photovoltaic industry, one must establish a national-level technological innovation and R&D center; the other is to strengthen the technological innovation capability of enterprises, and focus on promoting the introduction of high-end equipment manufacturing, key components, and major auxiliary materials. Absorbing and digesting capabilities, consolidating and developing core competitiveness Wen Dongzheng said that we attach great importance to investment in science and technology innovation, and we hope to rely on technological innovation to reduce costs and truly realize the green power that ordinary people can afford. Third, strengthen overall planning and policy guidance to achieve a return to rational development of the photovoltaic industry. The biggest problem in the domestic PV industry is profit-driven. Since the listing of Suntech, many companies have poured into the polysilicon production and component industries. Local governments are also driven by interests, leading to blind expansion of the entire industry. Under the current difficult situation, governments at all levels should rationally plan and unify planning to prevent over-investment and redundant construction from aggravating overcapacity. Let the photovoltaic industry return to the track of healthy, orderly and sustainable development. The future is still bright after the pain. Recently, the state has intensively introduced a series of policies to rescue the photovoltaic industry, cracking the grid connection problem and expanding the domestic market demand. At the same time, PV companies are also striving to save themselves and promote the healthy development of the industry itself. Experts pointed out that the long-term nature of the energy crisis shows that the PV prospects are still good. On October 26, the State Grid introduced a free grid-connected service policy for distributed power stations, and promised to provide free access to system planning, grid-connected testing, and commissioning of the entire process. Many measures were implemented on November 1st. Countervailing and anti-dumping investigations on imported solar grade polysilicon originating in the European Union; on November 26, the Ministry of Commerce began to retroactively impose anti-dumping duties on imported solar grade polysilicon originating in the United States, South Korea and the European Union, and whether it is against origin In the United States and the European Union, the import of solar-grade polysilicon was retrospectively levied on countervailing duties. The reporter learned at the 8th Pan-Pearl River Delta Regional Cooperation and Development Forum and Economic and Trade Fair held on the 29th that the advancement of these measures has greatly boosted the confidence of domestic PV companies and brought the photovoltaic industry to a dilemma. Good news. It indicates that the Chinese PV industry, which is in the middle of the lost valley, has revealed a new dawn. At present, the Ministry of Commerce is formulating policies to promote Chinese PV companies to vigorously develop the African photovoltaic power generation market. This news is undoubtedly a big plus for the entire industry. Mr. Xiao said that the solar lighting conditions on the African continent are very good, and most of Africa is a developing country. The demand for electricity in the future is extremely great, so we believe that the development potential of the African PV market cannot be underestimated. There are also some enterprises actively carrying out technical cooperation in China, insisting on continuous research and development of high-efficiency solar cells, reducing the cost of photovoltaic power generation, and accelerating the pace of PV price-level pricing; some enterprises have accelerated transformation and upgrading, developed downstream photovoltaic power station business, and enhanced profitability. Mr. Xiao also said that although China's PV companies are currently facing difficulties, but based on the world's conventional energy supply shortage crisis is increasingly serious, the search for emerging energy has become a hot issue in the world, the prospects of the photovoltaic industry is still good. Among various new energy sources, solar photovoltaic power generation has the advantages of green environmental protection, renewable, large amount, wide distribution and diverse application forms. Countries attach great importance to the development of photovoltaic industry. China's photovoltaic industry is currently improving in terms of manufacturing level, industrial system, technology research and development, etc. The domestic and international market potential is huge. As long as we seize development opportunities and accelerate transformation and upgrading, we will usher in a broader development space in the future.

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