At 4:30 pm on September 12, workers at Beijing Beiyi Machine Tool Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as Beiyi Machine Tool) have already left work. As an old factory of the same age as the Republic, it has continued the tradition of leaving work half an hour earlier. The spacious and bright factory area is quiet and almost no visible to the workers. Last year, the supply of machine tools was in short supply. After work, there were still many workshops working overtime to work, and this year, the situation of overtime was significantly reduced. Not only that, in July, the factory also put about 10 days of leave. The security guard at the door said that it was because the factory was not good and the orders were not so much. The situation of the North First Machine Tool is not a case. On September 13th, at the China International Metal Forming Exhibition, the reporters visited the machine tool enterprises in Shenyang, Hefei, Kunshan, Foshan and other places to understand that the machine tool industry is experiencing a cold winter this year. Because the downstream industries such as automobiles, home appliances, and construction machinery are in low demand, orders are decreasing, and the output of machine tool enterprises has generally dropped by 30%-50%. Industry insiders told reporters that although the machine tool industry is relatively small and low-profile, but because it is a working machine, downstream industrial enterprises need to use it for production, so the rise and fall of the machine tool industry can reflect the quality of the entire manufacturing industry. , with the meaning of the wind vane.
The output was reduced by 30%. On September 11th, about 1/2 of the workshops in Beijing North Forging and Forging Machine Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as Beigong) were filled with machine tools. These are finished products that have not been sold yet. General Manager Liu Wenge told reporters that they did not have a warehouse in the factory. In the past, the products were in short supply, the machine tools were produced, and even the paint was taken away by the customers. This year, inventory has risen significantly. Liu Wenge said that even with conservative estimates, production has fallen by 50%. When I was busy, I used to work overtime in the factory. Now I have no work to do during normal working hours. About 100 people in the factory of about 100 people have had a holiday and received a minimum wage of more than 1,000 yuan per month. The profit of machine tools also fell sharply. In the 1990s, the price of steel was about 800-1000 yuan/ton, and the price of a punch with a specification of 300 tons and a weight of 50 tons was about 650,000 yuan. Now, the steel has risen to 6,000 yuan/ton, and the same specifications. Although the punch sold for 900,000 yuan, an increase of 38%, but the increase of 500% compared with steel is almost negligible. Liu Wenge said that the average profit of their single machine tools is less than 10%. “The workers’ work is lacking in enthusiasm and can’t attract interest.†Beijing Andu Electromechanical Equipment Co., Ltd. is the agent of dozens of machine tool factories in China. It is one of the largest machine tool sales companies in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. President Wang Tao said that not only the machine tool factories, but also the inventory of their sellers is currently at a high level. According to him, many upstream machine tool factories are on holiday, taking a break, or organizing study, and some small manufacturers have closed. As sales terminals, they are more sensitive to changes in the market. Since the beginning of this year, their sales have fallen by 50% and the number of new orders is close to zero. At the time of delivery, the customer will postpone and reject the goods for various reasons. Wang Tao said that compared with last year, the company's accounts receivable decreased a lot. On the one hand, because the business is not good, the company is more cautious in the payment method, most of them require the full amount instead of the capital; on the other hand, the product can not be sold, the salesman has more time, just go out to pay. In the same way, many of their customers have reported an increase in service levels this year, in fact, because of the decline in sales and service time. China International Metal Forming Exhibition has always been a stage for many forging machine manufacturers to show their own. However, the reporter found on the 12th that there were few cars in the parking lot of the exhibition, and there were no people at the gate. Some viewers even mistakenly thought that the exhibition had ended. In the exhibition hall, the reporter learned that the downturn did not exist in Beijing. Xia Huan, sales manager of Shenyang Pusen Forging Machine Tool Co., Ltd., said that according to what she learned at the industry conference, a 30% drop in production is a common phenomenon. According to the statistics released by the China Machinery Industry Federation, from January to June 2012, the sales value of the machine tool industry has seen a sharp decline in the overall trend for half a year. Among them, the growth rate of cutting tool manufacturing, foundry machinery manufacturing, machine tool accessory manufacturing industry accounted for a large decline, the year-on-year growth rate fell by 35.61, 28.82 and 37.28 percentage points respectively.
Demand slows production in the machine tool industry, which is related to a slowdown in downstream demand. Taking North Forging as an example, Liu Wenge said that their big customers are Midea Group. In the past few years, Midea has been expanding and building factories everywhere, so it is necessary to purchase a large number of machine tools. This year, the pace of expansion of the United States has slowed down, and their order volume has also dropped sharply. Guangdong Zhirong Machine Tool Works Co., Ltd. South China sales manager District Zhizhen also told reporters that home appliances is one of the important downstream of the machine tool industry. Since 2007, the nationwide promotion of the “home appliances to the countryside†policy has affected the rapid development of the home appliance industry, which has also stimulated the demand for machine tools. Since the end of last year, the “home appliances to the countryside†policy has been gradually completed, and the home appliance industry has begun to enter the “slow laneâ€, and the demand for machine tools is not so much. In addition to home appliances, cars are also an important downstream of the machine tool industry. In the first half of this year, the sales of new cars grew slowly. According to the statistics of China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, the production and sales of automobiles in the first half of the year were 9,529,200 and 9,598,100, an increase of 4.1% and 2.9% respectively over the same period of the previous year, including trucks and semi-trailers. The production and sales of non-complete vehicles and trucks were lower than the same period of the previous year. Xia Huan told reporters that many of their products are sold to truck parts manufacturers. Since the beginning of this year, the freight market has not been good, the demand for trucks has decreased, and the parts manufacturers have begun to work half-work. From the past three shifts to the last four days and three days off, the demand for machine tools naturally decreases. On the one hand, the demand is reduced, on the other hand, it is overcapacity. Wang Tao said that in the past few years, the machine tool market was hot, the demand for products was in short supply, and the demand was amplified. Some manufacturers have been blindly expanding their production capacity, which has caused overcapacity in the entire industry. This in turn promotes vicious competition between manufacturers and dilutes profits. Wang Tao, a
manufacturing downturn, said that machine tools are machines that make machines, so they are also called "working machines." In modern industry, non-metallic products such as automobiles, airplanes, shipbuilding, construction machinery and even furniture need to be machined, so it is very downstream, involving almost all manufacturing industries. A person who does not want to be named by the China Machine Tool Industry Association also said that the rise and fall of machine tools can indeed reflect the quality of the entire manufacturing industry. However, compared with the current indicators such as power generation and freight volume, the machine tool has a certain lag due to its production cycle requiring several months to one year. The person said that the machine tool industry is an industry driven by fixed asset investment. Since the beginning of this year, the country's infrastructure construction projects have stagnated, and the number of new real estate starts has decreased, resulting in a lower manufacturing operating rate, which will be transmitted to the machine tool industry. In addition to investment, export factors also have a significant impact on the machine tool industry. Li Guang, sales manager of Kunshan Machinery (Kunshan) Co., Ltd. told reporters that in August-December of last year, it was the peak season of the southern manufacturing industry, and the manufacturers made full efforts to order the Christmas at the end of the year. This year, it shows the phenomenon that the peak season is not prosperous. The reason is mainly due to the impact of the European debt crisis and weak exports. The manufacturing industry does not receive orders, and naturally does not need to purchase machine tools. The import and export data released on September 10 showed that China's export growth in August rose from 1.0% in July to 2.7%, slightly lower than the market forecast of 2.9%; among them, exports to the EU and Japan showed 12.7% respectively. And a negative growth of 6.7%. Regarding the future, the above-mentioned China Machine Tool Industry Association said that compared with the beginning of the year, the production rate of the machine tool industry in July and August has slowed down, but it has not yet bottomed out, and there is still no sign of rebound. Wang Tao said that according to the current level of demand, it takes three months to digest the inventory, so it is difficult to see improvement before the end of the year. What he is more worried about is that due to factors such as account period and loans, most of the contradictions are concentrated at the end of the year. At that time, there may be a large number of small manufacturers failing and the boss running.
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